Tuesday, January 29, 2013

Will Bali be able to deliver what Doha could not?

The Doha Development Agenda or Doha round has been written off by many as not being capable of producing any exults in the coming years, already having lingered on for more than a decade. Will the 9th Ministerial Conference in Bali (I have blogged about it here and here) break the impasse, at least partially?

Pascal Lamy alluded to the possibility of a basket of credible results in Bali in December 2013 here. Referring to the way forward on these negotiations:
"To ensure that the process runs as smoothly as possible and to avoid any surprises, we need to stick to a few simple guidelines.  
First, we need to work towards what is reasonably doable.  Members should be realistic in their demands, take into account other Members’ red lines and stay clear of what are known to be unattainable objectives.  
Second, when advancing a proposal, it is the proponents’ responsibility to build consensus around it.  Make sure that you are working towards convincing the other Members, not yourselves.
Third, avoid being confrontational.  Any proposal should not be framed as a kind of take-it-or-leave-it position.  The negotiating process entails a trade-off between concessions and demands.  Be flexible and work together with other Members and around their sensitivities to achieve a common understanding. 
 
Certainly, none of these points are new.  They have guided the last couple of MC preparatory processes.  They are mainly dictated by common sense, but they are fundamental if we want to act responsibly and with collective determination in the run-up to Bali. 
Without setting new and unworkable deadlines, MC9 provides us with an opportunity to show that WTO Members can advance the negotiating front of the WTO agenda.  Of course, we should be under no illusion about the breadth of what we can achieve in the short timeframe between now and MC9.  Nor should we create unrealistic expectations. The main stumbling blocks of the DDA are still standing and many of the toughest nuts will likely not be cracked by the time Ministers meet in Bali. 
But although we must manage expectations and keep ambitions in check for Bali, we cannot fall short of delivering on a credible basket of issues that would signal your confidence that the rest of the Doha agenda can be addressed in due course."
Will Bali be the golden opportunity to bring negotiations back on track with some 'credible results"? T.S.Vishwanath feels Bali can perhaps provide a breakthrough:


"To a great extent, Bali can resurrect WTO and help member countries look at the organization to resolve some of the emerging issues in global trade. The next six months would be critical in developing an agenda that can be resolved by the end of the ministerial"
Trade Facilitation, may be? WIll there be an acknowledgement to move away from the single undertaking principle? A lot of expectations on Bali - Let the preparations begin! Indications of it were probably found in the Davos meet about which was alluded to here.


2 comments:

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